Interview: a Helsinki modelling lead

An interview with a statistical modelling lead

Professional headshot of Mika Koivisto, Helsinki modelling lead
Mika Koivisto is a Helsinki-based statistical modelling lead working at a Nordic analytics firm. We spoke about the value of learning from failure, the role of peer review, and why honest reflection drives technical progress in volatility forecasting. His experience shows that documenting and sharing mistakes is as important as celebrating successes.

What does a typical day look like for you as a statistical modelling lead in Helsinki?

A lot of my time is spent reviewing models that didn’t perform as expected. I work closely with analysts to unpack why a volatility forecast went wrong, documenting every assumption and decision point. We treat each failure as an opportunity to improve—sometimes the fix is technical, sometimes it’s in the way we interpret the data. My day is a mix of analysis, documentation, and open discussion.

What are the most rewarding and challenging aspects of your role?

The highlight is when a model failure leads to a breakthrough—when a mistake uncovers a hidden relationship or prompts a change in process. The most difficult part is getting everyone comfortable with admitting errors. It’s a cultural shift, but it’s essential for technical growth. The best teams are those that share their failures as freely as their successes.

How does machine learning impact your approach to model failures?

Machine learning has made volatility forecasting more powerful, but also more opaque. When a model fails, we spend extra time tracing through its logic and retraining on new data. Peer review has become critical—we need fresh eyes to spot issues that even the original developer missed. The process is slower, but the models end up stronger.

What advice do you have for practitioners starting out in volatility modelling?

For those new to the field: don’t hide mistakes. Document them, discuss them, and invite feedback. Most technical growth happens after something fails, not when everything runs smoothly. Stay open to criticism—it’s your best resource.

How has your perspective on model critique and improvement changed over time?

Earlier in my career, I thought mistakes meant weakness. Now, I see them as the main drivers of progress. The field moves quickly, but only those willing to reflect and adapt will keep up. Peer learning and honest critique are now at the core of my process.

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